How Hamilton can clinch a fifth title this weekend | 2018 United States Grand Prix

Lewis Hamilton won the world championship with two races to spare last year and he could go one better at this weekend’s United States Grand Prix.

What’s more, if Mercedes continue their recent run of form he’s likely to get it. A repeat of any of the last four race results – all won by Hamilton with Sebastian Vettel no higher than third – would seal the deal.

To clinch a fifth world championship on Sunday, Hamilton needs to take at least eight points off Vettel, something he’s already done eight times this year.

If Vettel fails to score in this weekend’s race Hamilton would only need sixth place to win the championship.

Hamilton won the world championship at the Circuit of the Americas in 2015, when there were also three rounds to spare. On that occasion he arrived at the track with a 76-point lead over rival Nico Rosberg, compared to the 67-point lead he has over Vettel.

Vettel’s finishing position
1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th+/DNF
Hamilton’s finishing position 1st 74 77 80 82 84 86 88 90 91 92
2nd 60 70 73 75 77 79 81 83 84 85
3rd 57 64 70 72 74 76 78 80 81 82
4th 54 61 64 69 71 73 75 77 78 79
5th 52 59 62 65 69 71 73 75 76 77
6th 50 57 60 63 65 69 71 73 74 75
7th 48 55 58 61 63 65 69 71 72 73
8th 46 53 56 59 61 63 65 69 70 71
9th 44 51 54 57 59 61 63 65 68 69
10th 43 50 53 56 58 60 62 64 66 68
11th+/DNF 42 49 52 55 57 59 61 63 65 66 67

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If Hamilton and Vettel end the year tied on points Hamilton will be champion as there is no way Vettel can beat him on count-back of wins and second places.

If Sunday’s race is shortened and half points are awarded Hamilton can only become champion by finishing in the top two places: By winning with Vettel no higher than sixth or by finishing second with Vettel no higher than ninth.

The constructors championship

Mercedes’ 78-point lead over Ferrari in the constructors’ championship is not enough for them to be able to clinch the world championship this weekend.

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2018 F1 season

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